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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2024–Jan 16th, 2024

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Coastal, Boundary, Kitimat, Nass, Rupert, Seven Sisters, Shames, Stewart, Ningunsaw, Ningunsaw, Ningunsaw.

Seek out sheltered terrain where you can avoid wind slabs. Wind slab may even be found below treeline due to outflow winds.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Rider triggered wind slabs continue to be reported in the region. Check out this MIN and this one.

Cornices have failed naturally in the alpine. Cornices may have been undermined by the atypical winds.

On Thursday, very large (size 3) slab avalanches were observed near Ningunsaw on south and west-facing slopes. These avalanches may be failing on the deeper weak layer described in the snowpack summary..

Snowpack Summary

New wind slab will likely form throughout Wednesday night. Variable winds mean that wind slab could be found on all aspects. These new slabs will overlie facets.

In sheltered areas, about 20 to 40 cm of recent snow overlies a layer of surface hoar and a crust below 1700 m.  

Near Stewart and Ningunsaw, a poorly-bonded crust about 100 cm deep may act as a weak layer.

Elsewhere, the remainder of the snowpack is reportedly strong with various hard crusts.

Weather Summary

Monday Night

Mostly cloudy with 5 to 15 cm of new snow expected, west alpine wind 25 to 40 km/h and outflow winds at valley bottom 20 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -8°C.

Tuesday

A mix of sun and cloud with a few centimeters of new snow possible, east alpine wind 20 to 30 km/h and outflow wind 20 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -8°C.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny with trace amounts of new snow expected, northeast alpine wind 35 to 50 km/h, treeline temperature falling to -15°C.

Thursday

A mix of sun and cloud with up to 2 cm of new snow expected, east alpine wind 25 to 40 km/h, treeline temperature -15°C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
  • Seek out sheltered terrain where new snow hasn't been wind-affected.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.