Avalanche forecast

Glacier

Mar 6 – 7, 2024Avalanche Canada
View on map
Archived · expired 3 years ago

Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
3 · Considerable

Highlights

The snowpack is primed for large human triggered avalanches, remain diligent and do not expose yourself to large slopes.

Have plans to ski conservative, well-supported slopes with limited overhead exposure. Now is not the time to challenge yourself on bold lines!

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2.5

    Variable winds, initially from the SW, then switching to the NE, and then back to the W, have created wind slabs in atypical lee features. These slabs have the potential to trigger the deeper Feb 3 layer.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    2–4

    This crust-facet combo (Feb 3rd) was created by an extended cold, clear period without snow earlier this month. 80-140cm now sits on the persistent weak layer which remains primed for human triggering (see FB video). If triggered resulting avalanches could be very large in size.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, a field crew remote-triggered a sz 1 on the Feb 3 crust while approaching a snow profile site. Under the Rampart a sz 3 was observed from the last few days showing very wide propagation.

A skier-triggered a sz 2 slab on Avalanche Crest Sunday.

Last week, a group triggered a size 3 in the Camp West area, also failing on the Feb 3rd crust.

We continue to see daily reports in the region of human triggered avalanches on the Feb 3rd layer - some failing in small forest openings.

Snowpack Summary

80-140cm of settled snow sits atop sugary facets. These facets are not bonding/sticking well to the widespread, very firm Feb 3 crust. This crust is a significant persistent weak layer and will be the main layer of concern for the foreseeable future.

To add to the concerning mix, variable winds over the last 3 days have created soft wind slabs at Tree-line and above on most aspects.

Weather Summary

Cool and dry weather for the next few days, the late winter sun packs a punch and will increase the likelihood of avalanches as it warms the upper snowpack

Wed: Mix of sun/cloud, high -14°C, light W winds, FZL at valley bottom.

Thurs: Mix of sun/cloud, high -15°C, light SW winds, FZL 800m.

Fri: Cloudy & isolated flurries, trace of new snow, low -10°C, moderate SW winds, FZL 1300m.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Use conservative route selection. Choose simple, low-angle, well-supported terrain with no overhead hazard.
  • Remote triggering is a concern, avoid terrain where triggering slopes from below is possible
  • Even brief periods of direct sun could produce natural avalanches.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Regions covered