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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Nov 18th, 2021–Nov 19th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Natural avalanche activity has tapered off, but be conservative. There is still concern for human triggering.

Weather Forecast

Friday. Cloudy with sunny periods. Precipitation: Nil. High -9 °C. Ridge wind west: 15-35 km/h.

Saturday. Flurries. Accumulation: 6 cm. Low -12 °C, High -10 °C. Ridge wind west: 20 km/h gusting to 60 km/h.

Sunday. Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries. Precipitation: Trace. Low -12 °C, High -9 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 20 km/h.

Snowpack Summary

The 60-80cm of storm snow that fell over the past week continues to settle, and be redistributed by moderate southerly winds at ridge tops. This storm snow overlies variable basal snowpack depending on aspect and elevation with a melt freeze crust up to around 2500m, and weak faceted snow near the ground in most places tree-line and above.

Avalanche Summary

With good visibility on Wednesday numerous avalanches, up to size 3.5, were observed. Most occurred during and near the end of the past storm. These avalanches were predominantly out of steep alpine features, but a large avalanche was caused by explosives in a similar terrain feature at tree-line, propagating over 800m wide.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.