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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 7th, 2022–Dec 8th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

North Columbia, South Columbia, Blue River, Clearwater, Clemina, Jordan, North Monashee, North Selkirk, West Purcell, Badshot-Battle, Central Selkirk, Goat, Gold, Kokanee, Retallack, Valhalla, Whatshan.

Conditions are more complicated than what meets the eye. Fresh wind slabs formed at upper elevations. Riders may be drawn to more sheltered areas around treeline to avoid these wind slabs, but should consider that this is where the persistent slab problem has been most problematic to date. Keep your terrain choices conservative and don't let good riding lure you into more hazardous terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday a few size 1 to 2 wind slab avalanches were reported in the region . These avalanches were in treeline and alpine terrain on northerly aspects.

A weak layer of surface hoar below recent snow has been responsible for the latest snowpack instability. Reports suggest this interface is most prevalent at treeline, between 1700-2000 m, but it was also reported as low as 1450 m.

Sunday: Skier triggered and natural avalanches up to size 2 were reported around treeline on easterly aspects in the south of the forecasting region. They failed on feathery surface hoar about 40 cm deep. In the Revelstoke area, skiers triggered avalanches up to size 2.5 about 40-70 cm deep (see a picture in this MIN report and a more detailed description of the same avalanche in this MIN report). Avalanches were triggered on southerly and north aspects at treeline and in the lower alpine and some were triggered from a short distance away.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 35cm low-density snow fell on a cold snow surface consisting of feathery surface hoar on shaded aspects and a sun crust on sun exposed aspects. This new snow will likely be redistributed by incoming southerly winds.

Buried 40-80 cm deep, a layer of surface hoar, crust, and faceted crystals is the persistent layer of concern. This layer has been most reactive at treeline between 1700-2200 m, but it was also observed as low as 1450 m and widespread whumpfing and cracking was reported throughout the region.

Snowpack depths range from 70 cm at treeline to 170 cm in the alpine, with wind-loaded areas exceeding 200 cm.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Flurries bringing a trace of new snow. Moderate southwest winds with a low of -14 at 1800m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 5 to 10cm of new snow expected. Moderate to strong winds with a high of -10 at 1800m.

Friday

Mostly cloudy with another 5cm of new snow expected. Light southwest winds with a high of -10 at 1800m.

Saturday

Mostly cloudy with flurries bringing trace amounts of new snow. Light to moderate southerly winds with a high of -8 at 1800m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Potential for wide propagation exists, fresh slabs may rest on surface hoar, facets and/or crust.
  • Expect slab conditions to change drastically as you move into wind exposed terrain.
  • If triggered, wind slabs avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.