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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2026–Jan 16th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Crowsnest North, Crowsnest South.

A surface crust will create challenging travel conditions.

Watch for isolated pockets of wind slab in the alpine, if dry snow exists.

Confidence

High

  • We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday, there were some small wet loose avalanches triggered by skiers in the south.

A crust will form on the surface overnight, making avalanche activity unlikely. If dry snow exists in high alpine terrain, human-triggered wind slab avalanches are possible.

Snowpack Summary

A crust or moist snow exists on the surface at most elevations due to recent rain and warm temperatures. This crust overlies moist snow or firm, wind-packed snow in the alpine and treeline.

In parts of the region, a buried surface hoar layer may exist roughly 40 cm below the surface, but it is likely a non-issue following the warming event.

A crust exists in the midpack at treeline and below, and a crust and facets can be found near the base of the snowpack.

The average snowpack depth at treeline is roughly 120 to 200 cm.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night
Clear skies. 10 km/h southeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Friday
Sunny. 10 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C.

Saturday
Sunny. 30 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C. Above freezing layer (AFL) in the alpine.

Sunday
Mostly sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -5 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Wind slabs are isolated, but may remain reactive.
  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • Rocks will heat up with daytime warming and may become trigger points for loose wet avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.