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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 10th, 2016–Feb 11th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Alpine temps remained above zero overnight.  Be wary of South and West facing slopes especially if the sun pokes out

Weather Forecast

Today is forecast to be mainly cloudy with isolated flurries.  Alpine temps will reach zero and ridgetop wind will be SW 25-40.  6 cms of snow are forecasted for tonight with up to 20 by Saturday.  Thankfully freezing levels are coming down to 1800m today but won't drop lower than this until the weekend. .

Snowpack Summary

With yesterdays inversion and warm temps the surface of the snow became moist above 1500m on all but north facing alpine slopes. Once the sun went down the moist snow turned into a thick crust. Windslabs exist up high however they are becoming more stubborn. The Jan 4th is down 90-130 and was still producing sporadic sudden planar results.

Avalanche Summary

Natural avalanche activity should taper off today with the freezing level dropping.  However temps remained above zero in the alpine overnight and with a nudge from solar input we could see southerly aspects producing avalanches

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.