Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 11th, 2016 8:00AM

The alpine rating is below threshold, the treeline rating is below threshold, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Loose Wet, Wet Slabs and Cornices.

Parks Canada ian gale, Parks Canada

Spring skiing is here. Early starts and early finishes are crucial to playing safe! Although supportive in the morning, the upper snowpack is moist and will breakdown quickly with daytime warming.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Another glorious morning at Rogers Pass that promises to be a beauty day.  Mostly sunny this morning with clouds building this afternoon with the potential for isolated showers. Freezing levels up to 2300m with SW ridge wind 15kph gusting to 40.A temperature inversion is in place and temps were well above freezing all night in the alpine.

Snowpack Summary

We experienced a solid freeze in the valley bottom overnight but a temp inversion kept the alpine temps above zero overnight. The clear windy night will have created a thin surface crust but this will break down quickly with daytime heating & sun. Recent winds have likely redistributed remaining dry snow in the alpine leaving touchy wind slabs

Avalanche Summary

We have been experiencing regular natural avalanche cycles in the afternoon associated with daytime warming and the strong effects of the sun. Avalanches have been in the sz 1.5 - 2.5 range and either loose or wet slab releases. Sporadic glide crack releases have been witnessed every few days and are destructive and tricky to forecast.

Confidence

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet
It doesn't take long for the strong solar and very warm temps to break down the weak surface crust. Loose wet avalanches are expected.  Be especially careful in terrain traps below treeline where even a small slide could bury or push you around.
Avoid exposure to solar aspects overhead, large avalanches may reach the end of run out zones.Avoid sun exposed slopes when the solar radiation is strong, especially if snow is moist or wet.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Wet Slabs

An icon showing Wet Slabs
Strong solar input and daytime warming have created a wet slab problem. These slabs can be triggered from loose point releases or they can fail seemingly unprompted in the form of a large glide release.  Avoid overhead exposure to glide cracks!
Use caution on open slopes and convex rolls Avoid lingering in runout zones.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 4

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Cornices along ridges will be weakened by the strong sun and warm temps. Serac fall has also been observed recently. Pieces of cornice or ice tumbling down are concerns in their own right, but these can trigger larger avalanches once on the slope. 
Cornices become weak with daytime heating, so travel early on exposed slopes.Give cornices a wide berth when travelling on or below ridges.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Apr 12th, 2016 8:00AM