Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 8th, 2017 8:00AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Parks Canada percy woods, Parks Canada

Look to protected locations for the best ski quality.  Days are still short, plan your turn around time to be back to the trail head well before dark.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Today's forecast calls for cloudy with sunny periods and an alpine high of -7C.  Ridgetop winds should be light and from the SE.  Later today a Pacific front should move in bringing upwards of 15cm of storm snow by Monday afternoon.  Warming temps, snowfall and occasionally gusting winds will see a rise in the avalanche danger for Monday.

Snowpack Summary

New Years N'ly winds left exposed slopes at and above treeline wind pressed. In more protected locations these slabs may rest on top of the Dec 26th surface hoar layer. The Dec 18th facet/surface hoar layer down 50-80cm is producing hard results in field tests with varying fracture character. Surface faceting is building the next weak layer.

Avalanche Summary

Last Wednesday skiers accidentally triggered a size 1.5 windsslab on a SW aspect at 2350m in the Hermit area. Since then there has been little natural avalanche activity observed or reported.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Reverse loading has left behind windslab and wind pressed snow in the alpine and at treeline.  Most of the skier triggered avalanches have been on Southerly aspects in shallow areas in the alpine.
Use caution above cliffs where small avalanches may have severe consequences.Avoid shallow snowpack areas where triggering is more likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 9th, 2017 8:00AM