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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 25th, 2017–Apr 26th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Skiing is good as new snow remains loose and unaffected by wind. Temperatures expected to stay cool next couple days so good time to get out there.

Weather Forecast

Tuesday night will be clear and -8 to -12 degrees. Wednesday will start clear but increasing cloud into the afternoon. Wednesday will be relatively cool at -2 to -4 and 1800m freezing level. This freezing level will maintain into Thursday with increasing cloud and potential for some more precipitation Thursday to Friday.

Snowpack Summary

20cm loose new snow sits overtop a melt freeze crust in many locations above tree line. Mid pack is consolidated and bridges the weak base. The bottom snowpack is mixed facets and depth hoar.

Avalanche Summary

Tuesday's Icefields patrol noted one size 3 slab 72 hours old on West aspect at 2500m. Some small solar point releases noted out of rocky areas. 

Confidence

Timing or intensity of solar radiation is uncertain on Wednesday

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.