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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 5th, 2015–Dec 6th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

Surface hoar layer not readily found on east treeline aspects on today's field trip.  Forecasters are still nervous about this elusive weakness so continued cautious decision making is advised.

Weather Forecast

Continued snow as a series of storms roll over the area.  Expecting up to 40 cm accumulated by Tuesday night. Mod to strong SW winds with warm valley bottom temps cooling with elevation.

Snowpack Summary

25 cm new (and more on the way) over a well settled snowpack at treeline and below. In the alpine and TL, strong SW winds redistributing the new snow on the lee aspects. The distribution of the surface hoar that formed during last week's inversion is widespread but is most likely best preserved on sheltered north aspect slopes.

Avalanche Summary

No new activity observed.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Sunday

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.