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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 14th, 2016–Feb 15th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Cupid is evil! He gave us new and building wind slab just to ruin the riding! Sandwiched windslabs overlying weak facetted mid-pack is your Valentines gift. Be careful out there!

Weather Forecast

No love for the weather gods this Valentines day! They just constantly let me down! Temperatures will be seasonally reasonable, -6 to -7. It's the cold dead heart of the wind making me miserable! Consistent moderate to strong south, sw-ly winds blowing any new snow (5-10cms) into oblivion.

Snowpack Summary

Cooler temperatures are stabilizing the snowpack. Solar BTL locations have a terribly variable un-supportive 10cm crust. Windslab building at BTL locations and intense transport in ALP occurring. Persistent slab TL-ALP in midpack. Weak midpack and basal facets exist. Suspect decomposed surface hoar down 40cm. It's distribution is uncertain.

Avalanche Summary

Poor visibility Sunday. No new natural avalanches reported.

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.