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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 12th, 2012–Apr 13th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Purcells.

Confidence

Poor - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

A low pressure center is moving into Southern Alberta where it looks to remain stationary through to Friday. This low will continue to spread light-moderate amounts of precipitation to the region through Saturday. Sunday looks to be sunny, solar radiation will be intense when the sun pokes through. Freezing levels will hover near 1600 m until Saturday night, and then fall to valley bottom. Ridgetop winds will be moderate from the West, switching Easterly on Sunday.

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday many natural loose wet avalanches were reported up to size 2.5 on South aspects. A significant size 3 wet slab was also seen on a south aspect before lunch time.

Snowpack Summary

Mild temperatures have settled out much of the upper snowpack. Spring-like conditions prevail; with surface crusts on solar aspects and melt conditions (no overnight re-freeze) on all aspects below 1700 m. New wind slabs may build with forecast snow and wind at upper elevations. Cornices are large and exist on most ridgelines. I don't expect this to be an immediate problem until it heats back up again, possibly Sunday. Up to 100 cm sits on the March 27th interface. This interface consists of a buried sun crust on southerly aspects and a temperature crust on more northerly slopes. A thin layer of facets and or surface hoar can be found on this crust on all aspects. The bond on this interface seems to be improving. The mid-pack is well settled and strong. At the base of the snowpack sits a weak layer of facets and depth hoar. I'd be suspect of steeper unsupported slopes where the snowpack goes from thin to thick.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.