Avalanche forecast

Provo

Utah Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

  • Alpine
  • Treeline
  • Below treeline
Out of date — this forecast expired 7 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The avalanche danger is MODERATE on all steep slopes at the mid and upper elevations for Wind Drifted Snow avalanches. Human triggered avalanches are possible. On slopes facing southeast through southwest as well as all lower elevations we have a LOW danger for Wet Loose Snow avalanches.

At the low elevation terrain we have a LOW danger.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2

    Westerly winds are currently blowing across the Wasatch Range creating new slabs of wind blown snow. Even though there is not a lot of snow to blow around the wind speeds are so strong that it will grab and strip away anything it can and deposit it on the lee side of ridges and terrain features. I would expect hard and soft slabs of snow scattered around the range in a very random order. Some dirfts will be soft and fresh and others will be compressed into shallow hard slabs of wind drifted snow.

    There are two things I would be looking for today:

    1. Any snow that is stiff and hard under my skis, board, or sled. This type of hard wind slab usually sounds hollow (like a drum) looks wind rippled and pressed into the terrain.

    2. Fresh or old soft drifts of wind blown snow. These will feel dense, thick or cakey. They will look rounded and pillowy. Any cracking is a sign of instability.

    Unfortunately, the winds are so strong that the location of these soft and hard slabs of wind blown snow will NOT only be limited to the ridgelines. They could also be found in cross-loaded open terrain, mid-slope breakovers, or any other terrain feature that has channeled the wind. As seen from the recent activity there remains a chance that any shallow slab triggered could step down into weaker layers in the snowpack.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1

    It's hard to ignore the above freezing temperatures across the range. However, with limited direct sunlight and the strong winds I would assume the wet snow problem will be kept at bay today. As you move through terrain look for and avoid steep slopes where the snow is wet, saturated and heavy. This problem is for wet loose snow. You can find the definition HERE. If the snow is frozen, there is no problem.

    Danger Trend: Decreasing

Special Announcement

Discounted lift tickets - Thanks to the generous support of our Utah ski resorts and Ski Utah, all proceeds from these ticket sales go towards paying for avalanche forecasting and education! Get your tickets here. Forecaster Trent Meisenheimer will be giving a talk on the "State of The Wasatch Snowpack" at the Black Diamond Retail Store in Millcreek - Feburary 13th, from 7:00-8:30 pm. See you there!

Recent Activity

Yesterday, Utah Department of Transportation worker John Woodruff aka "Woody"got out to look at some of the bigger terrain in the Provo area and found some avalanches with great pictures HERE. Both of these avalanches looked to be triggered by either cornice fall or a shallow wind slab that then stepped down into weaker layers in the snowpack. The warm temperatures and direct sunlight yesterday created a small natural wet loose avalanche cycle on southerly aspects.

Photo: Avalanche off the Cascade Ridgeline. Provided by UDOT.

Snow and Weather

Under partly clouds skies the westerly winds are wreaking havoc with speeds of 40-50 mph gusting 82 mph at 11,000'. Even the mid and upper elevation (9,000'-10,000') anemometers are spinning 20-30 mph gusting 40 mph. Mountain temperatures remained above freezing overnight with upper elevations currently sitting in the upper 30's °F.

We have a strong cold front that currently sits off the coast of Oregon and should be arriving tonight around 10:00 pm. For today, winds will continue blowing from the southwest with speeds of 20-30 mph at 9,000' and 30-40 mph at 11,000' with strong gusts at times. These winds will usher in thickening clouds and will keep the temperatures warm. Once the trough axis passes overhead tonight the winds will veer to the northwest, temperatures will plummet, and we could see 6-12" of new snow by Monday afternoon. It's a welcomed return to winter.

Our Week in Review - where will highlight significant snow and weather from this past week - is available HERE.

General Announcements

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This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

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