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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 11th, 2019–Feb 12th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Sea To Sky.

A dusting of new snow and wind will hide older, recently formed wind slabs and build new slabs over old ones. The largest accumulations of snow, and potentially the most reactive, will be found in wind-loaded terrain.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Tuesday

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with clear periods, isolated flurries with trace to 5 cm accumulation. Alpine temperatures near -19C. Ridgetop winds moderate from the east.TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with isolated flurries, 5-10 cm accumulation. Alpine temperature near -12C. Ridgetop winds moderate from the east.WEDNESDAY: Mix of sun and cloud. Alpine temperatures near -10C. Ridgetop winds light from the southwest.THURSDAY: Sunny with cloudy periods, flurries starting later in the day. Alpine temperature near -8C, freezing level rising to 600 m. Ridgetop winds moderate from the south-southeast.

Avalanche Summary

Small pockets of wind slab have been reactive to skier traffic in steep and immediate lee features. Of note is a MIN from the Whistler backcounty reporting wind slabs at lower elevations and in more sheltered terrain than usual (see the MIN here).On Sunday, explosives work on cornices failed to initiate any wind slabs on the slopes below. Otherwise, no new natural avalanches have been observed recently.

Snowpack Summary

A dusting of snow fell on variable wind-pressed, wind-sculpted, exposed crust and windslab surfaces cover the alpine and higher treeline elevations. The recent extreme wind event deposited snow lower in start zones than usual and developed wind slabs in more protected areas and at lower elevations.Due to scouring and wind-loading, anywhere from 0-80 cm of this wind-affected snow sits on a crust on all aspects below 2000m and solar aspects into the alpine. Current cold temperatures are promoting surface faceting and are breaking down the buried crust above 1800m. In isolated and sheltered terrain at treeline and below, a layer of weak feathery surface hoar or sugary facets may be identified, but with little reactivity. The remainder of the snowpack is generally well-settled.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.