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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 15th, 2019–Jan 16th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Little Yoho.

While some areas in this region have a deeper snowpack that is gaining strength, others do not. Investigate the snow and treat thin areas with increased caution.

Weather Forecast

A cooling trend will begin as the inversion breaks down midday Wednesday. Winds will remain light and West to SW. Temps should drop Wednesday to -10C at 2000m and stay there through Thursday. As clouds build from pacific moisture moving in Thursday, expect trace amounts of snow to bury our current surface hoar, suncrust and wind effected surfaces.

Snowpack Summary

Solar crusts on some steep SE to West slopes at TL. Extensive wind effect in the alpine, less at treeline. In thick snowpack areas, the Dec 10th weak layer of facets is now down 100-150cm with a stronger snowpack below. In thin snowpack areas, there is little separation between Dec 10 and the weak depth hoar/ facets sitting 40 cm above the ground

Avalanche Summary

No field trip today and no reports of avalanches. A size 3 slab failed on the south aspect of Mt Fairview sometime during the weekend during the temperature inversion and clear skies. The crown was 70cm to 1m deep and over 1000m wide. The slide ran up the other side of the valley below Sheol. A good example of the deep persistent slab problem.

Confidence

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.