Deep Persistent Slabs
- Alpine
- Treeline
- Below treeline
- Likelihood
- Possible
- Size
- 3
Data and observations keep finding layers of surface hoar under a 2-3 ft. slab of consolidated snow in some open areas on near and below treeline N-NE-E aspects. This layer could still exist on some isolated NW and SE aspects as well. Triggering an avalanche on these buried surface hoar layers has become more difficult, but human triggered persistent slab avalanches that fail on a buried surface hoar layer remain possible on some slopes. As more snow accumulates across the forecast area over the next 36 hours this persistent slab problem should become larger and easier to trigger due to the added weight of the new snow. For today larger triggers like large cornice collapses or multiple people on a slope or smaller triggers on the right trigger point such as an area where a shallower snowpack exists or in areas near rocks have better chances of triggering a persistent slab avalanche. If any persistent slab avalanches do occur, they would be large and have severe consequences. Avalanches that fail on buried surface hoar can propagate long distances, can occur in places traditionally considered safe, and can be triggered from lower angle terrain.
Due to the consequences of these types of avalanches, avoiding steep slopes where reactive surface hoar still exists represents the best way to manage this avalanche problem. Unfortunately, determining where the buried surface hoar still exists and where it is still reactive is difficult. Recent avalanche activity, shooting cracks, collapsing, whumpfing, and snowpit tests can provide some clues. However, a persistent slab triggered by a party on the slope sometimes represents the first and only clue to avalanche instability.