Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 1st, 2022 4:00PM
The alpine rating is , the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems include Wind Slabs and Loose Dry.
William Lawson,
A combination of strong to extreme winds and new snow will likely increase the sensitivity of wind slabs and initiate loose dry avalanche in steep terrain.
Summary
Weather Forecast
As the BC low moves into Alberta, strong to extreme winds will dominate through the forecast region. By Saturday night we will begin to see snow fall, forecasted accumulation amount very from 10 to 25cm by Monday. Thankfully temperatures will continue to climb through till Monday with valley bottom highs near -10.
Snowpack Summary
Strong winds are transporting faceted surface snow at upper elevations, forming hard slabs on lee slopes. There is 80-100+ cm over the Dec. 2 crust/facet combo in Little Yoho which exists below 2200m and are monitoring closely. HS at treeline is 180-260cm
Avalanche Summary
There was a skier triggered size 2 avalanche in Kootenay NP Thursday. This appears to have been on the Dec. 2nd crust/facets. A few other avalanche obs in Kootenay appear to have released on the same interface. Strong winds today have likely increase the natural avalanche activity at upper elevations.
Confidence
Problems
Wind Slabs
Last week's snow and winds created wind slabs in the alpine. As strong to extreme winds and new snow accumulation continues till Monday, we expect increased natural avalanche activity in the alpine and slab development at treeline.
- Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.
- Minimize overhead exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow, wind.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Loose Dry
A long period of cold has lead to faceting of the upper snowpack. This weak snow will be more sensitive to triggering and will also allow avalanches to run further and faster. We expect the wind to generate a significant amount of loose dry activity.
- Loose dry avalanches could easily trigger Wind Slab or Persistent Slab avalanches.
- Be careful of loose dry sluffing in steep, confined or exposed terrain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 2nd, 2022 4:00PM
