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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 11th, 2012–Mar 12th, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Monday: Light snowfall - strong easterly winds changing to southwesterly by mid-day - freezing level at 350m Tuesday: Light snowfall - strong southwesterly winds - freezing level at surface Wednesday: Light to moderate snowfall - strong southeast winds - freezing level rising to 600m

Avalanche Summary

A skier released a size 1 hangfire slab (overburden from a previous avalanche) in the northern part of the region. The avalanche occurred on a south aspect at 900m and is thought to have reacted on the early February interface. No other avalanches were reported. Observations were most likely reduced by poor visibility.

Snowpack Summary

Continued strong westerly winds have redistributed recent storm snow into reactive wind slabs that most commonly exist at treeline and in the alpine. In the northern part of the region two persistent weak layers are on the radar of some operators: Surface hoar buried at the beginning of March is as much as 70cm deep. The early February persistent weak layers (surface hoar, facets, crusts) are over a metre down. Although not widespread throughout the region, persistent slabs would be destructive in nature and may be reactive to skier triggers, particularly below treeline on isolated and sheltered steep terrain where buried surface hoar may be preserved. Cornices in the region are reported to be large and unstable.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Forecast strong winds and new snow will create fresh and reactive wind slabs in unusual places, but generally lurking below ridgecrests, behind terrain features and in gullies.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

It is still possible to trigger early-February persistent weaknesses where they exist. Any avalanches failing on these layers are expected to be large and destructive.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 6