Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 11th, 2012 11:01AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Monday: Light snowfall - strong easterly winds changing to southwesterly by mid-day - freezing level at 350m Tuesday: Light snowfall - strong southwesterly winds - freezing level at surface Wednesday: Light to moderate snowfall - strong southeast winds - freezing level rising to 600m

Avalanche Summary

A skier released a size 1 hangfire slab (overburden from a previous avalanche) in the northern part of the region. The avalanche occurred on a south aspect at 900m and is thought to have reacted on the early February interface. No other avalanches were reported. Observations were most likely reduced by poor visibility.

Snowpack Summary

Continued strong westerly winds have redistributed recent storm snow into reactive wind slabs that most commonly exist at treeline and in the alpine. In the northern part of the region two persistent weak layers are on the radar of some operators: Surface hoar buried at the beginning of March is as much as 70cm deep. The early February persistent weak layers (surface hoar, facets, crusts) are over a metre down. Although not widespread throughout the region, persistent slabs would be destructive in nature and may be reactive to skier triggers, particularly below treeline on isolated and sheltered steep terrain where buried surface hoar may be preserved. Cornices in the region are reported to be large and unstable.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Forecast strong winds and new snow will create fresh and reactive wind slabs in unusual places, but generally lurking below ridgecrests, behind terrain features and in gullies.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 4

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs
It is still possible to trigger early-February persistent weaknesses where they exist. Any avalanches failing on these layers are expected to be large and destructive.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

2 - 6

Valid until: Mar 12th, 2012 9:00AM

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