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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Nov 19th, 2011–Nov 20th, 2011
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

This bulletin is based on limited data. Local variation in conditions and danger levels are likely to exist. To produce more accurate forecasts, we need information. Please send an email to [email protected]

Confidence

Poor - Due to limited field observations

Weather Forecast

Sunday should continue to be cooler and drier in the morning. The next wave of precipitation should move on to the coast around mid-day Sunday and begin to affect the interior ranges Sunday night and into Monday. Heavy precipitation combined with strong southwest winds should dominate Tuesday. Freezing levels may rise to 1500 metres on Tuesday.

Avalanche Summary

We have a few reports of glide crack releases at lower elevations near Terrace, and a recent size 2.0 slab release near Shames in the backcountry. Wind slabs are expected to remain sensitive to human triggers throughout the forecast period.

Snowpack Summary

Total snowpack depth in most sheltered treeline areas is around 100cm to150cm. Extensive wind-transport has created highly variable snowpack depths in exposed areas at all elevations with weak wind slabs 50 to100cm thick. The mid and lower snowpack seems to be well settled and strong with an old rain crust near the ground.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Near ridge crests and terrain breaks, and in cross-loaded gullies. The wind has changed direction several times in the last few days creating wind-slabs on several different aspects.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 2 - 4