Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Wednesday

On Wednesday expect 10-25cm of new snow to fall throughout the day with strong southwest ridgetop winds. The highest accumulations are forecast for the south of the region. Continued light flurries and decreased winds are forecast for Thursday, while clearing skies are forecast for Friday. Freezing levels should sit at 1400m on Wednesday, 1200m on Thursday, and 1600m on Friday.

No new avalanches have been reported, but this may speak more to a lack of observations rather than actual conditions. In recent days in the neighboring Sea to Sky region a few soft slabs to size 2 were observed failing within the new storm snow at treeline and in the alpine. Daytime warming and solar radiation also triggered loose wet avalanches to size 2.5 in steep sun-exposed terrain. Similar conditions are expected to have developed in this region. Forecast cooling should limit ongoing loose wet avalanche activity; however, a round of natural wind slab activity is expected on Wednesday in response to new snow and strong southwest winds.

On Sunday night the region received up to 15cm of new snow with highest amounts falling in the northern parts of the region (areas accessed from the Pemberton Valley). Further south in the Coquihalla area, it rained to ridgetop and depending on the current temperature, surfaces are either moist or refrozen. Where it did snow, moderate southerly winds formed soft slabs which seemed most reactive in lee alpine terrain, although warm temperatures and the "greenhouse effect" from cloudy skies on Tuesday have surely promoted significant settlement. The new snow overlies a sun crust on sun-exposed slopes, dry settled powder on shady slopes and moist snow below 1800m. Below the new snow the snowpack is strong and well-settled throughout with no notable persistent weaknesses. Cornices are huge and fragile.