Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Apr 24th, 2023 4:00PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is below threshold. Known problems include Loose Wet and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada CG, Avalanche Canada

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Rain and warmth have softened the lower elevation snowpack, creating moist surface conditions on all aspects.

If you can safely navigate the valley-bottom slop and get into the Alpine, you may find some dry snow on northerly aspects. Bring your Glopstopper!

Summary

Confidence

High

Avalanche Summary

Numerous wet/loose surface avalanches have been observed from steep gullies/slopes on all aspects at and below treeline. From point releases, they have been gathering up a substantial mass and leaving deposits as large as sz 2.5.

As the week continues to warm up, expect these wet/loose avalanches to increase in size and potentially step down to deep layers, possibly even the Nov 17 facets.

Snowpack Summary

Below and at Treeline, rain and clouds are preventing a strong surface crust recovery.

In the Alpine, true N'ly aspects hold dry snow. On solar aspects, a breakable crust overlies a series of buried crusts, which may provide a failure plane for slab avalanches as temps rise.

The Nov 17 basal weakness can still be found in many areas, ~20-40cm above the ground.

Weather Summary

Unsettled weather the next few days, with freezing levels rising, then exploding up, by the weekend.

Tonight: cloudy/clear periods, light W wind,1600m FZL

Tues: sun and cloud, Alp high -3*C, light/mod W winds, 2000m FZL

Wed: cloudy, scattered rain/flurries, Alp high 2*C, mod/strong SW winds, 2500m FZL

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • The more the snowpack warms-up and weakens, the more conservative you`ll want to be with your terrain selection.
  • If triggered loose wet avalanches may step down to deeper layers resulting in larger avalanches.
  • Avoid terrain traps such as gullies and cliffs where the consequence of any avalanche could be serious.

Problems

Loose Wet

An icon showing Loose Wet

Lower elevations saw rain overnight, saturating the surface. The snowpack below treeline has lost strength and wet loose avalanches will become likely in steep terrain.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Treeline, Below Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Up to 60cm of settled snow covers a series of crusts combined with surface hoar/facets in some locations. Loose wet avalanches in motion have the potential to step down to these layers, creating large avalanches.

Aspects: East, South East, South, South West, West, North West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Valid until: Apr 25th, 2023 4:00PM

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