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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Mar 20th, 2025–Mar 21st, 2025
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be high

Regions: West Island.

Avoid avalanche terrain

A natural avalanche cycle is expected

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Wednesday ski cutting produced several size 1 slab avalanches on wind loaded features near ridgetops.

On Monday, a large slab avalanche (size 2.5)was triggered by a giant cornice fall on a north alpine slope on Mount Cain. It was triggered by a person stepping very close to the cornice.

Thanks for sharing your observations via the MIN if you are going out into the backcountry.

Snowpack Summary

60 to 120 cm of new snow may have fallen by Friday Morning, forming touchy storm slabs. This new snow will be accompanied by moderate to strong southwest winds, forming deeper deposits on north and east aspects. On solar aspects and lower elevations a crust will likely be found beneath this storm snow.

A robust crust, formed in early March, can be found in the mid-pack. The snow above is well bonded to this crust.

Below this, the snowpack is well consolidated and strong.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Cloudy with up to 50 cm of snow. 30 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -3 °C.

Friday

Cloudy with up to 15 mm of mixed precipitation. 20 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -1 °C.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud with isolated flurries. 15 to 30 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C.

Sunday

Cloudy with up to 40 mm of rain. 25 to 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Freezing level rising to 2300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid areas with overhead hazard.
  • Use increased caution at all elevations. Storm snow is forming touchy slabs.
  • Cornice failures could trigger large and destructive avalanches.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.

Avalanche Problems

Storm Slabs

New snow and wind overnight will have formed new storm and wind slabs. The largest and most reactive will likely be on north and east aspects.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Very Likely

Expected Size: 1.5 - 3