Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 8th, 2020 4:00PM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Wind Slabs, Cornices and Deep Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada Mikey, Avalanche Canada

This is the time to pull back as the natural cycle is tapering off. Skier triggering is likely with all of the wind slabs in the alpine and tree line.

Summary

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Monday is forecast to be a mix of sun and cloud with moderate westerly winds. First thing in the morning in the alpine, the temperature will be -20c and rising to -9c as a high.  

Avalanche Summary

The natural avalanche cycle continued on Sunday with numerous avalanches up to size 3 on all aspects and at all elevations. Mount Rundle was controlled by explosives on Sunday, producing large slides that covered the road.  

Snowpack Summary

This recent storm has left us with 70-90cm of snow. This storm came in with lots of wind, thus the alpine is dominated by wind slabs, while treeline saw a lot of slab conditions in lee and cross loaded terrain. Expect some areas of wind drifting to be over one meter. Sunday saw a natural avalanche cycle, along with large results during explosive control. It will take some time for this recent storm snow to stabilize. At this time of year, solar radiation can be a huge factor for triggering natural avalanches on sun exposed slopes.

Terrain and Travel

  • Avoid freshly wind loaded terrain features.
  • Don't be too cavalier with decision making, storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
  • Avoid lee and cross-loaded terrain.
  • Make conservative terrain choices and avoid overhead hazard.
  • Extra caution is needed around cornices under the current conditions.
  • Be aware of the potential for large avalanches due to the presence of a deep persistent slab.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

Wind slabs are everywhere in the Alpine and in lee and cross-loaded terrain at Treeline. Human triggering is very likely.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices

Cornices are large and fragile. If triggered, a cornice failure may trigger a wind slab or a deep persistent slab on the slopes below.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1.5 - 3

Deep Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Deep Persistent Slabs

With the recent loading, this layer may become more active. Triggering is more likely is shallow snowpack areas.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Unlikely

Expected Size

2 - 4

Valid until: Mar 9th, 2020 4:00PM