Avalanche Forecast

Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the timing, track, & intensity of the incoming weather system.

The northwest coast is set to be the wettest zone in the province for the foreseeable future as a series of storms that began Monday night continue to impact the region, a trend that is expected to be with us through the weekend. It’s worth noting that there is quite a bit of wind in these systems too.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Freezing level at valley bottom, moderate to strong northwest wind, trace of snow possible.

WEDNESDAY: Overcast, freezing level around 500 m,strong to extreme west/southwest wind, 2 to 10 cm of snow possible during the day, 8 to 20 cm possible Wednesday Night.

THURSDAY: Overcast, freezing level around 800 m, moderate southwest wind, 2 to 10 cm of snow possible.

FRIDAY: Overcast, freezing level around 900 m, strong to extreme southwest wind, 5 to 20 cm of snow possible.

Not much new activity to report from Monday other than glide slabs that continue to open up. There is likely some storm slab avalanche activity occurring in the region Tuesday with the 15 to 20 cm of snow that fell Monday night.

Over the weekend wind slabs were widespread to size 2 with an average depth of 30 cm.

We got an observation from the Shames backcountry Saturday of some natural avalanches, more details here. There have been a few observations of natural cornice failures in the last week, some are not having any result when they impact slopes below, others are producing small wind slabs. 

We recently received a report of a very large (size 3.5) persistent slab avalanche that likely ran on February 5th. It ran naturally on a north/northwest facing feature at 1850 m, this avalanche failed on the January facets.

It's also worth noting that glide slabs continue to release randomly, a size 2.5 natural glide slab avalanche was reported from an east facing feature at 700 m near the Basalt Creek Rest Area east of Prince Rupert On Friday February 7th. Glide cracks have reportedly been opening and releasing glide slab avalanches. Avoid slopes with glide cracks, as they are unpredictable.

15 to 20 cm fell across the region Monday night which is being blown into fresh slabs by wind out of the west, southwest and northwest. Wind has been strong from these directions over the last few days which has allowed open terrain to be heavily wind affected, hard slabs are widespread at and above treeline. Cornices are reportedly large on north, northeast and east facing terrain features too.

Wind sheltered features have 10 to 20 cm of faceted snow underneath the 15 to 20 cm that fell Monday night.

A thin layer of facets that formed during the January cold snap is now 100-150 cm below the surface and an early season crust exists at the base of the snowpack. These layers produced a few large naturally triggered avalanches in early February but have more recently been nonreactive.

• Watch for changing conditions today, storm slabs may become increasingly reactive.
• Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from new snow and wind.
• Recent new snow may be hiding windslabs that were easily visible before the snow fell.
• Caution around slopes that are exposed to cornices overhead.