Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 9th, 2020 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeIt is uncertain how well the recent storm snow bonds with the underlying crust. Slabs might still be sensitive to human triggers. Investigate the bond of the recent snow before committing to high consequence terrain.
Summary
Confidence
Moderate - Uncertainty is due to the limited number of field observations.
Weather Forecast
Sunday Night: Clear, light to moderate north wind, treeline high -6 C, freezing level 800 m.
Monday: Mostly sunny, light northwest wind, treeline high -3 C, freezing level 1300 m.
Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, moderate to strong northwest wind, treeline high 0 C, freezing level 1000 m.
Wednesday: Mix of sun and cloud, light northwest wind, treeline high 0 C, freezing level 900 m.
Avalanche Summary
A small skier triggered slab avalanche was reported on Saturday (see this MIN report).
No new avalanches were observed on Friday.Â
A few small (size 1) avalanches were triggered by skiers on Thursday.Â
Snowpack Summary
The recent storm snow adds up to 30-50 cm and sits on a thick rain crust. It is uncertain how well the snow bonds with the crust. Several observed avalanches released within the storm snow and some slid on the crust. The snowpack below the crust consists of moist to wet snow and is well settled. Snowpack depths are suspected to be in the range of 150-250 cm around the peaks of the north shore mountains (1400 m), tapering quickly with elevation to almost nothing below 1000 m.
Terrain and Travel
- Don't be too cavalier with decision making, storm slabs may remain sensitive to human triggering.
- A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.
- Avoid terrain traps such as gullies and cliffs where the consequence of any avalanche could be serious.
Problems
Storm Slabs
The recent storm snow adds up to 30-50 cm and sits on a crust. It is uncertain how well the recent storm snow bonds with the crust. Assess the bond of the storm snow to the crust before you commit to high consequence terrain.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 10th, 2020 5:00PM