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Avalanche Forecast

Mar 23rd, 2012–Mar 26th, 2012
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Waterton Lakes.

Following a few days of snowfall forecasts call for intense warming on Sun and Mon. The recently formed windslabs and storm slabs could become sensitive to triggering if this occurs. Large events may occur if small events trigger deeper layers.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Winds form varying directions have been active recently creating soft slabs in areas you would not normally expect to find them. Feel for these slabs in open areas with your poles and avoid large or planar slopes where they may be present.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 3

Storm Slabs

Below 1900m the recent snow is sitting on a rain crust: the bond here may deteriorate especially with warming. At upper elevations the recent snow is less distinct but layers of different densities are present: dig down to confirm the bond.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible - Likely

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Persistent Slabs

The warming March 10 created a thick crust in most areas to treeline and to ridgelines on solar aspects now down 1m+. This crust is showing signs of breaking down and as the slab consolidates above this layer it could become reactive to heavy loads.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3