Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Dec 14th, 2013 4:00PM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Deep Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeIncreased wind loading due to light precipitation and moderate to strong W winds is the main thing to watch over the next several days. Ice climbers in particular should be aware of possible changing conditions high above them. CJ
Summary
Weather Forecast
Cloudy weather with light precipitation and moderate to strong W winds at ridge tops are forecast for the next several days. Temperatures should remain between -6 and -14'C. 5-10cm of new snow is expected on Monday and Tuesday.
Snowpack Summary
10-20cm of recent storm snow sits on the early December facets. Strong W winds are creating wind slabs on lee aspects at tree line and in the alpine. The mid pack is mainly facets but still dense enough to support the weight of a skier in many areas. In alpine areas the October melt freeze crust is present near the base of the snow pack.
Avalanche Summary
A couple of wind triggered natural avalanches up to size 2 have been reported out of lee aspects on steep alpine terrain in the last 48hrs with one close call reported on Polar Circus on Cirrus Mountain. With the mild temperatures cornices are forming and are quite delicate at this time.
Confidence
Problems
Wind Slabs
New snow and strong W winds are creating wind slabs in lee areas. Not much activity has been observed yet however the hazard is slowly increasing and these wind slabs have the potential to step down into the basal facets to create larger avalanches.
- Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.
- Minimize overhead exposure; avalanches triggered by wind loading may travel long distances.
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Deep Persistent Slabs
The base of the snowpack is still quite weak with the Oct melt freeze crust and basal facets still providing good sliding layers under the right conditions. Probe often for basal weaknesses and use caution in steeper terrain.
- Be aware of the potential for full depth avalanches due to weak layers at the base of the snowpack.
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Dec 15th, 2013 4:00PM