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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 9th, 2017–Dec 10th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

The avalanche danger will rise on Monday as the freezing level rises to 3500m.

Weather Forecast

Strong Westerly winds beginning overnight and continuing through the day. Freezing level 1600m. Alpine temperature -4 . Starting Sunday evening, the temperature will rise through the day on Monday with the freezing level reaching 3500m. Temperatures cool on Tuesday. No precipitation is expected......

Snowpack Summary

Melt freeze crust on steep solar aspects treeline and above. There is a well settled snowpack in most locations. A 30 - 70 cm thick slab overlies a crust and bonding appears to be strengthening at this interface. The Halloween Oct 31 crust sits near the bottom of the snowpack from treeline to 2700 m.

Avalanche Summary

No patrol occurred on Saturday and nothing new was reported. A helicopter flight on Thursday observed numerous dry loose avalanches, size 1-2, along the Icefields Parkway and Maligne Lake Road on steep solar aspects, running to treeline. One size 3 slab avalanche was noted on a steep South facing slope that ran on the Halloween Crust to treeline.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Sunday

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.