Avalanche forecast

Silver Valley & Bitterroot Mountains

Idaho Panhandle Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sat
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Moderate temperatures and incremental loading have allowed the snowpack to settle and stabilize. As temperatures rise Friday and Saturday be aware of the potential for wet loose avalanches on solar aspects. Otherwise now is a great time to enjoy the sunshine and right-side-up stable snowpack!

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–1.5

    With temperatures forecast to climb into the upper 30’s today, and possibly low 40’s by Saturday, Wet loose avalanches are a likely problem.

    Wet loose avalanches will be a problem later in the day on slopes exposed to the sun, as heat releases liquid water into the upper snowpack that weakens the bonds between snow particles. Wet loose avalanches usually start on steep slopes, typically over 35°, and often around exposed rock. Also known as point release avalanches, these can entrain a large quantity of snow that can travel long distances into lower angle terrain.

    If you start to see lots of tree bombs and roller balls that grow rapidly and gouge the surface, its time to move off steep slopes or find colder snow on non-solar aspects. Although wet loose avalanches move relatively slowly, they are dense and can be powerful enough to take a skier/rider, or even a snowmobile, for a ride over cliffs or into a terrain trap. When the risk of wet loose avalanches are elevated, limit your exposure below steep slopes and be aware of your proximity to terrain traps.

    (3/7/2024)

    Rollerball pinwheels begin to grow and gouge the surface as the surface snow warms and becomes wet  in the afternoon on a solar aspects. This is a sign that its time to move away from steep slopes.

    Photo: Mikey Church

Avalanche Discussion

Longer days, sun, warm temps and stable snowpack…spring conditions are starting to make their presence known.

After the much-needed storm cycles of February, and recent incremental loading, we finally have a stable snowpack. Touring around Mullan Pass yesterday we dug pits on multiple aspects and elevations. At mid and upper elevations we found the notorious February 3rd freeze/melt crust to be non-reactive and buried 3½ to 5½ feet below the surface. Above the February 3rd crust the snowpack was mostly uniform with a couple subtle layers that were also non-reactive. With all the evidence of good stability we felt good about stepping out into steeper terrain.

As the day progressed we saw increasing signs that the snow surface was becoming damp from solar radiation. With temperatures forecast to be higher today than yesterday, wet loose avalanches will be a problem. Plan your day to avoid steep sun facing slopes in the afternoon.

Enjoy the good weather and stable conditions. And don’t forget your sunscreen.

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