Avalanche forecast

Mount Shasta

Mount Shasta Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Sun
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired last year. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Stable conditions exist, and avalanche activity is unlikely. The greatest concern will be mild wet loose instabilities as temperatures climb through the day. If snow surfaces begin to feel wet, mushy, and unsupportable, consider moving to lower angle terrain. Rockfall and icefall should be expected from upper mountain cliffs (Casaval, Trinity Chutes, Red Banks). 

Avalanche problems

  • Cornices

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1–1.5

    Cornice fall will remain a problem today, albeit unlikely. Over the last five days, forecasters have witnessed numerous large, collapsed or sagging cornices on all aspects. The largest cornices tend to be on north facing terrain, where some are as large as small school buses. If these cornices fail, they have the potential to crush/kill someone below, and trigger a subsequent wet avalanche. The best way to avoid this issue is limiting your exposure. While travelling along ridge lines, step extra far back from the cornice edge. When failure occurs, cornices notoriously pull snow further back than expected. If you need to travel under a cornice, move fast and don't stop directly underneath.

    Photo: Nick Meyers

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1–1.5

    Today's temperatures are expected to be significantly cooler than the previous days, making wet loose activity unlikely. That being said, wet avalanche activity isn't impossible. The problem is most likely during peak daytime temperatures, on southerly aspects below and near treeline. Any activity is expected to be small, D1.5 or less, but still capable of carrying someone into consequential terrain. On your travels, keep your eye out for signs of warming surface snow such as sticky snow surfaces, roller balls on steep terrain, and wet loose avalanches on test slopes. As these signs become more prevalent, consider moving off of steep slopes.

    (4/5/2025)

    Hula-hoop sized roller ball

    Photo: Cory Beattie

Avalanche Discussion

Today is the final avalanche forecast for the 2024/25 winter season. Tomorrow, the spring bulletin will be issued and remain posted till the start of next winter. Starting tomorrow, forecasters will begin shifting operations toward climbing. We have been receiving numerous phone calls regarding Mount Shasta climbing conditions and road status, and we are expecting a busy climbing season once access improves. The Everitt Memorial Highway remains closed at McBride, with an opening date yet to be determined. The mountain is looking excellent, with above average snow coverage down to 6,000 feet.

Today: Please join the Mount Shasta Avalanche Center for our annual Community and Members Appreciation Party at Spring Hill Nursery, 4-7 pm. There will be food, refreshments, live music, and friends. Cost: FREE. 

Regions covered