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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 2nd, 2014–Mar 3rd, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Incoming snowfall and strong SW winds will increase the danger level over the next couple of days.

Confidence

Fair - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Milder conditions will move into the region tonight, bringing Alpine temperatures up to -6 degrees on Monday. Moderate to strong SW winds are expected with up to 10cm of new snow possible by the end of Monday. Tuesday could see a further 10cm of new snow accompanied by extreme SW winds.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new.

Snowpack Summary

Surface faceting continues. Sun crust on steep solar aspects. Recent winds have created thin wind slabs in cross-loaded and reverse wind-loaded features at Treeline and above in the past 48hrs. The Feb 10th persistent weak layer continues to produce shears down 30 to 70cm. The midpack remains supportive near the divide, but is significantly weaker to the east side of the range and at lower elevations.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.