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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 28th, 2015–Jan 29th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Large to very large avalanches are still occurring at higher elevations. Cautious terrain decisions are advised.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud expected for the next couple of days with Alpine temperatures between -6 and -8 degrees. Winds will be west at 25 to 30km/h. No precipitation is expected until Sunday, and then only a trace amount is forecast.

Avalanche Summary

Solar triggered loose wet avalanches up to size 1.0 continued today. Two notable slab avalanches also occurred in the past 24hrs. A size 3.0 was observed on a steep N aspect at 2600m. This fracture was between 30 and 100cm deep and propagated 450m wide. The second slide was a size 2.0 slab likely triggered by a loose wet sluff initiating in the cliffs above. This slab was between 30 and 50cm deep, but did not propagate very wide.

Snowpack Summary

Crusts dominate below treeline and on solar aspects at all elevations. Solar aspects were melting again by midday today due to intense radiation. Wind slabs are widespread in the Alpine and open areas at Treeline and still seem reactive in steeper terrain. Test profile at 2200m NE asp today indicate sudden planar compression test results in the moderate range down 90cm on the Nov facets and depth hoar.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.