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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 24th, 2014–Dec 25th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

There is enough snow out there for slab development. Wind is the missing ingredient at the moment. When the winds pick up, expect conditions to change.Have a happy, and safe Holiday Season!

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

We are back to a NW flow for tomorrow. Clear skies, cooler temps and dry conditions are expected.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new

Snowpack Summary

We have had anywhere from 8-16cms os snow in the last 24hrs. For the most part, the strong winds had blown themselves out by the time the snow really started falling. The alpine will have storm slabs and windslabs in immediate lee areas. Treeline still has some isolated windslabs that are likely reactive to human triggers. The long term trouble layers are still out there. Below treeline, the snow depth is 50-90cm with the Nov crust/facets/depth hoar down 70cm on average. Quick profiles today noted that the mid-pack is getting weaker. The Dec 3rd crust and  Dec 18 surface hoar layers are out there, but not a problem with the current load.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.