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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 24th, 2013–Dec 25th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

On Christmas Day strong winds and light snowfall will lead to further wind slab development. The October layer remains a major concern in the snowpack and requires cautious route selection. Next bulletin update will be on the afternoon of Boxing Day.

Confidence

Fair - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Up to 5cm of snow possible on Christmas Day and 7 to 10cm on Boxing Day. Temperatures will be relatively mild and winds will remain strong from the West or North-West.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new observed or reported.

Snowpack Summary

1cm of new snow in the past 24hrs. Strong winds continue to move some snow around at higher elevations leading to continued wind slab development on North and East aspects. The October layer of facets/depth hoar/crust remains a serious concern at the base of the snowpack, and this problem is unlikely to go away anytime soon.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.