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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 30th, 2018–Dec 31st, 2018

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Fresh, touchy storm slabs have formed from yesterday's storm. They will be sensitive to human triggering.

Weather Forecast

A mix of sun and cloud with moderate North winds and an alpine high of -13C. Temperatures are forecast to remain cold with a continued Northerly flow through tonight shifting to Westerly for New Years Eve.

Snowpack Summary

40cm+ of storm snow in the last 48hrs at 1900m. Storm started with a layer of weak stellars shifting to rimed snow as the temperature warmed. This layer combo has formed a very touchy storm slab. The Dec 9 and Nov 21 interfaces are down ~120-140cm and still producing Hard and Sudden test results.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche cycle yesterday with numerous avalanches to size 3 through the highway corridor. Very touchy thin surface slab conditions yesterday with numerous 0.5 skier controlled avalanches on features over 35 degrees on our field test run.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.