Avalanche forecast

Kananaskis

Apr 11 – 12, 2017Alberta Parks
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Archived · expired 9 years ago

Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Once again we are expecting an upslope storm to bring some snow. It will start tomorrow and carry on into Thursday. Remember that upslope storms have a tendency to reverse load slopes.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2
    A variety of slabs, new and old, remain in the upper snowpack. With the new snow coming, expect thin storm slabs to develop and potentially react with the deeper windslabs. There is an upslope component to this storm, so expect some reverse loading.
  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    2–3
    Loading on this layer continues as the flurries and squalls pass through. Alpine areas that have not seen the warmth yet are the most suspect.

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

Flurries with light winds overnight. We are expecting a stronger and more unsettled system to arrive by tomorrow afternoon bringing almost 10cm of new snow. SE winds will be a bit stronger as this storm plays out. On average 20 km/hr with gusts up to 45 in exposed areas. The alpine high will reach -4. Freezing level 2000m.

Avalanche Summary

Only small loose dry avalanches were noted today in steep alpine terrain.

Snowpack Summary

No significant new snow last night, only a light dusting in the southern part of the forecast region. Cold dry snow still exists in the high alpine and northern aspects. A significant melt freeze crust is on all aspects up to 2300m, and higher on solar aspects. The cloud cover and cooler temps today helped keep the crust frozen and supportive everywhere except for the valley bottoms. Moist snow by mid afternoon. Tests today revealed no significant shears at treeline elevations, however expect to still find the Dec facets near the bottom of the snow and potentially reactive to human triggering in thin areas.

Regions covered