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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 5th, 2013–Mar 6th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

South Rockies.

Confidence

Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Wednesday

Weather Forecast

Tonight and Wednesday: A low pressure system moves inland to the South of the border. Light-moderate of precipitation will begin this evening over the Southern ranges. Ridgetop winds light from the SE. Alpine temperatures near -4 and freezing levels 1800 m. Thursday: Mainly cool and dry with some clouds. Ridgetop winds light from the West. Alpine temperatures near -7 and freezing levels at 1300 m. Friday: The ridge will remain over the region with mainly dry, sunny conditions. Ridgetop winds light from the West. Alpine temperatures near -6 and freezing levels at 1600 m.

Avalanche Summary

Natural loose dry sluffing from steeper terrain. Explosive avalanche control initiated two size 2 slab avalanches from a North aspect around 1800 m.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 40 cm of storm snow fell last weekend. Storm slabs exist on all aspects and elevations and are touchy on slopes lee of the wind. Cornices have grown large on ridgelines and may act as a trigger on slopes below. Loose dry avalanches are likely, especially from steeper slopes and terrain features.Below 1900 m a crust has formed and may act as a sliding layer with new snow accumulations. Below the crust the snowpack is moist.Mid and lower snowpack layers are generally well settled.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.