Dashboard Regions Weather Stations Radar Alerts Glossary
Contact About
Log In

Register for an account and never miss a forecast again!

Register

Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 6th, 2012–Feb 7th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Rockies.

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions

Weather Forecast

The ridge of high pressure should re-emerge for tuesday bringing clear skies for one more day. On Wednesday, expect increased cloud throughout the day. Trace amounts of snow are possible on Thursday. Freezing levels should rise gradually throughout the forecast period from 800m to 1000m on Thursday. Winds will be light and southerly switching to northwesterly by thursday.

Avalanche Summary

Over the weekend widespread natural activity to size 3 was reported. The avalanches occurred in response to a warming pattern that affected much of BC. Avalanche activity has decreased dramatically with the current cooling trend.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow from the last few weeks is now well settled. In the mid snowpack sits the mid-December surface hoar layer which now lies dormant. At the base of the snowpack basal facets and depth hoar seem fairly widespread in the region. On the weekend there was significant warming that triggered a natural avalanche cycle on this layer. With the more recent cooling, crusts have formed on slopes that were affected by the sun and there has been a general strengthening of the snowpack. In Elk Valley North and the Crowsnest, the average snowpack depth at treeline is 150 cms. In Elk Valley S and the Flathead the snowpack depth is closer to 2 m. If you are traveling in the mountains it's a good time to take stock of layers that are developing on the current surface (crusts/surface hoar) that may become an issue when it finally snows.

Problems

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.