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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 9th, 2019–Jan 10th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Jasper.

Watch out for building wind slabs and cornices.

Weather Forecast

A "dirty" ridge of high pressure is bringing light precip to Jasper. A strong ridge then builds, bringing clear skies and warm temps for the rest of the week. Thursday: Cloudy with flurries (10cm). Alp High -5C, Low -6C. Moderate to strong W ridge wind, freezing level 1600m.A detailed mountain weather forecast is available from Avalanche Canada.

Snowpack Summary

Moderate to strong winds and 10cm of forecast snow will be building fresh wind slabs at ridge top. The snow from last week is settling into a cohesive layer overlying previous widespread wind effect, the Dec. 11th layer in the mid-snowpack and a weak facet layer on the ground in shallow areas - many recent avalanches failed on the ground.

Avalanche Summary

Continued reports to the south of natural triggered large avalanches.Jan 5th helicopter control produced numerous large-very large avalanches. One very large avalanche on Sunset peak buried the 93N and destroyed 14 hectares of mature timber.

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Thursday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.