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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 4th, 2013–Feb 5th, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Weather Forecast

Flurries will continue to Wednesday with potentially total accumulations of 9mm of precipitation. Not a game changer. Alpine winds will blow Westerly at 75km/hr but 25km/hr at 1500m. Freezing level will be 1300m by Tuesday afternoon with a downward temperature trend of a few degrees colder every day after that. Alpine temperatures -7 to -11.

Snowpack Summary

A trace to 10cm locally at Big Bend covers the previous hard wind slab in exposed alpine and treeline features. Lower elevations are generally faceted and poor travel. Thin wind slabs will continue to form in immediate lee features with moderate to strong Westerly wind transport especially with this new snow and a little bit more expected.

Avalanche Summary

Significant slab avalanche activity has not been noted for sometime. The trend appears to be an increased potential for cornice failures, low to mid elevation solar releases, and increased activity on South aspects related to when the sun impacts the terrain.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Tuesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.