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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 13th, 2014–Jan 14th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Regions

Jasper.

The natural cycle is tapering off now but the snowpack is proving very touchy to human triggering.

Weather Forecast

Winds will continue to redistribute snow in the alpine and treeline elevations. Light snow will turn to rain at lower elevations as we go into a warming cycle.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 70cm of storm snow has been redistributed by moderate to strong SW winds creating wind slab over a strong mid-pack in lee features on top of a weak basal facets layer at the ground.

Avalanche Summary

A field team in the Maligne Lake area remotely triggered a size 2.5 from a distance of 20m. In the Icefields area a group remotely triggered a size 1.5. Both avalanches were on open slopes at treeline and ran on the basal facet layer. Whumphing and shooting cracks were observed in both locations. Some natural activity to size 2.5 observed.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Wednesday

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.