Avalanche forecast

Jasper

Apr 12 – 13, 2013Parks Canada
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Archived · expired 13 years ago

Avalanche danger

Sun
Mon
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Significant snowfall is expected for the Columbia Icefield area - conservative terrain choices are advised until the snow has a chance to stabilize. 

Avalanche problems

  • Cornices

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–3
    Several cornice failures were observed in the past 48 hours and some of these did trigger storm slabs on the slopes below up to size 2.
  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–3
    The primary concern is where new storm slabs are sitting on previous crusts,in which case they may be triggered by light loads. Existing windslabs on lee aspects will also become more sensitive to triggering with the increased load from the new snow.

Weather Forecast

Weather models show the Columbia Icefield area receiving steady snowfall for the weekend, with up to 25cm total by Sunday night.  Winds should remain light SW below 2000m, but will be gusting in the strong range (SW-NW) in the alpine. Temps remaining cool and freezing levels below 1300m.

Snowpack Summary

Windslabs on lee aspects (NE) of exposed ridgecrests above treeline are covered by 5-10cm of new snow. New snow is sitting on previous temperature crusts below 2100m and on sun crust on solar aspects. Cornices are big and heavy, and several natural cornice falls have been observed in the past few days. Melt freeze crust carries well in AM.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed today, but several large cornice failures reported in the past 48hrs.  Of note, several of these cornice falls did trigger deep persistent slabs with crown fracture depths of up to 1m, and some were observed to have triggered more recent storm/wind slabs with a depth of 10-40cm.     

Confidence

Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Regions covered