Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 2nd, 2016–Jan 3rd, 2016

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Little Yoho.

The temperature inversion starts to break down Sunday but ice climbers in particular should expect loose wet avalanches to occur in steep rocky South facing terrain. Check our weather stations for current temperatures.

Weather Forecast

The ridge of high pressure will start to break down later on Sunday but you can still expect lots of sunshine. Winds will begin to increase out of the South. The strong inversion continues into Sunday before breaking down. Check our weather stations for current treeline and alpine temperatures.

Snowpack Summary

A well settled snowpack with few weaknesses exists throughout the region. There is moist surface snow/sun crust on steep solar aspects. Isolated wind slabs exist on leeward slopes in the alpine. Below 2000m, the Dec 3 layer of surface hoar and facets remains visible down 35-70 cm but is currently dormant. Thin areas are faceting out and weakening.

Avalanche Summary

Numerous loose wet snow avalanches up to size 2 have been observed on steep rocky terrain with the sun affect and warm alpine temperatures. Several recent small cornice failures have also been observed.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.