Avalanche forecast

Turnagain Pass and Girdwood

Chugach National Forest Avalanche Center
View on map

Avalanche danger

Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired last year. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Snowfall and moderate winds should continue to load buried weak layers throughout the day. Large natural avalanches on weak layers 1-3' deep are possible, and human triggered avalanches are likely. Strong winds overnight have also formed wind slabs 1'+ deep at upper elevations that will be easy for a person to trigger. We recommend a cautious approach by sticking to low angle terrain while the snowpack adjusts to the new load. 

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Last night's storm brought roughly 4-6" of new snow to Girdwood and Turnagain Pass with higher totals near Portage. This additional load combined with wind loading from very strong east winds and another 4-6" of snow expected today will make large natural avalanches 1 to 3' deep on persistent weak layers possible. In the past week, we have seen many human triggered avalanches in the Seattle Creek area, and we expect human triggered avalanches to remain likely today and increase in size with the new snow. 

    So far, recent avalanche activity has been limited to Seattle Ridge and the north end of Turnagain Pass, but this additional load might be enough to make the persistent weak layers capable of producing avalanches across a wider swath of the forecast area. You can use test slopes, hand pits, and snow pits to check whether the buried weak layers exist in the area you are traveling and whether they are reactive to the weight of a skier or rider.

    With persistent weak layers, avoid the temptation to try and outsmart the problem. If you are seeing any signs of unstable weak layers, we recommend taking a conservative approach and sticking to low angle terrain to avoid this issue. Avalanches releasing on lower angle slopes than normal and remote triggering is common, where you can trigger an avalanche from low angle terrain onto adjacent steeper slopes.

    Cornices could fail naturally today as the added snow and wind cause them to grow larger. Keep an extra safe margin if you are traveling along ridgelines and try to avoid being underneath cornices that are being wind loaded.

    Glide avalanches are still a concern across the forecast area. Try to avoid spending time underneath glide cracks to limit your exposure to this unpredictable hazard. 

    (2/26/2025)

    Buried surface hoar at the crown of one of the recent avalanches in Seattle Ridge area. We saw probably 10 recent avalanches that had similar character. This one was in Main Bowl and occurred on Saturday.

    Photo: Andrew Schauer

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Very strong winds averaging 40 to 50 mph with gusts up to 85 mph overnight have formed widespread wind slabs at upper elevations. These could be up to 1-2' deep and are likely to be triggered by a person today. With the strength of the winds, snow can be transported further downslope than normal, so wind slabs can exist in uncommon locations. Keep an eye out for shooting cracks, hollow feeling pillows of snow, or avalanches on small test slopes to identify where wind slabs are located. 

Regions covered