Avalanche forecast

Kootenay Boundary

Jan 26, 2017Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 10 years ago

Avalanche danger

Thu
Fri
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

A complex avalanche hazard exists in our region. Wind slabs may be strengthening, but the persistent slab problem will linger much longer. Thin snowpack areas are especially concerning.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–2
    Watch for pockets of wind slab lingering on exposed northerly features near ridge crests, and also in cross-loaded southeast gullies at treeline. Be aware that a wind slab avalanche may provide enough force to trigger a deeper weak layer.
  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3
    Several different persistent weak layers are buried 60-150 cm deep and have proven reactive to human triggering. Conservative terrain use is essential in managing the problem, especially in low snow areas such as the southwest portion of the region.

Confidence

High - The weather pattern is stable

Weather Forecast

Thursday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Winds light from the northwest. Freezing level around 900 metres with alpine temperatures around -8.Friday: Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries and a trace of new snow. Winds light from the west. Freezing level around 800 metres with alpine temperatures around -5. Possible alpine temperature inversion.Saturday: Mainly cloudy. Winds light to moderate from the southwest. Alpine temperature inversion bringing alpine temperatures to near or exceeding 0.

Avalanche Summary

Aside from small loose snow releases from steep terrain, no new avalanches were reported on Tuesday. Reports from Monday include details of two Size 2-3 avalanches releasing naturally on steep terrain over Sunday to Monday morning. Wind loading of a northwest aspect and solar input to a southerly aspect were determined to be the triggers of these separate events. Reports from Sunday include several natural Size 1-1.5 wind slab avalanches that occurred on a northwest aspect after a bout of rapid wind loading over the morning. Preliminary information regarding the backcountry skier fatality that occurred on Saturday is that it occurred on a S/SE facing aspect near 2050m in a cross-loaded feature. We also had a great MIN report of a cornice-triggered Size 2 on Friday near Cabin Peak in the Bonnington range. The initial failure was in the storm slab on a southeast aspect near 2000m but more significantly was observed stepping down to trigger a weak layer deeper in the snowpack. This 'step down' character is keeping this report in our discussion in spite of its age.

Snowpack Summary

A complex and tricky snowpack exists in the Kootenay Boundary region. At the surface, a trace to 5 cm of new snow fell over the region on Tuesday night, giving a thin cover to surface hoar that has been observed growing up to 6 mm. Combined with Sunday's 3-12 cm and 35-55 cm from last week's storms, the storm snow forming our upper snowpack now totals a rather variable 40-70 cm. The initial snowfall last week was accompanied by moderate to strong southerly winds, resulting in touchy storm and wind slabs forming and bonding poorly to the previous (January 17) snow surface that includes facets and large surface hoar on sheltered slopes and/or a sun crust on steep sun-exposed aspects. This varied layer continues to give easy to moderate and occasionally sudden results in snowpack tests (down anywhere from 30 to 60cms depending on location). In some areas of the Rossland range, the mid-November rain crust / facet layer is now found down 60-100 cm and has proven reactive with recent loading and warming. In thin rocky areas, particularly in the Rossland range, recent reports include easy sudden collapse snowpack test results on facets down 120-150 cm near the ground.

Regions covered