Avalanche forecast

Summit Lake

Chugach National Forest Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Thu
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

A northwest outflow wind event is forecast through Thursday. These winds will be creating fresh windslabs 1' deep or more in the upper elevations across our forecast zones. The bigger concern in Summit Lake remains the chance that a human or snowmachine could trigger a very large avalanche up to 6' deep above 1,000'. These problems can be avoided by searching for soft snow in the trees on lower angle slopes.

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SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENTS:

Motorized Access:  The Forest Service has opened Johnson Pass north trailhead and the Summit area to motorized use. You can see riding area status on the Forest HERE.

Avalanche problems

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–3

    Recent avalanche activity from last weekends storm tells us the deep persistent slab problem is producing very large avalanches and there's a chance a human or snowmachine could trigger one. There were at least 7 or 8 avalanches that occurred last weekend that we think were triggered on a buried layer of weak snow near the ground. There were also a handful of smaller avalanches that all occurred on west facing slopes of the mountains on the east side of the highway. These were likely wind slabs from the strong winds during the storm.

    The deep persistent slab problem may not give any feedback, but a whumpf or collapse is a clear sign that a slope could avalanche. If you are venturing onto steep slopes choose safe, low angle, up routes, and travel one at a time in terrain greater than 30 degrees.

    Dry Loose Avalanches: Dry loose avalanches were triggered by humans yesterday on steep slopes in Turnagain Pass. As of now these are small, but as the snow dries out through this cold spell they will become larger and more difficult to escape.

    Cornice Falls: Cornices are coming in all shapes and sizes at this point. Cornice cracks are also forming in some places, they have been seen in the V-Max (Snug Harbor) area and on Goldpan. These cracks (sometimes very large and deep) form well back from the cornice edge and pose a fall hazard. Cornice falls from the storm last weekend have been observed to have traveled to the valley floor, so give cornices some space and watch that they don't fall down on you from above.  

    (1/28/2025)

    Large avalanche across the whole bowl of on Colorado Mtn's east face. It's hard to tell but the texture of the bed surface and size of the crown looks like this one may have failed at the ground. 

    Photo: Daniel Krueger

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Today, winds look like they should be in the 15 to 25 mph range creating the fresh wind slabs described in the bottom line. Wind slabs are usually found just below ridgelines and in cross loaded gullies like the one pictured here. There will be higher chances of a person or machine triggering one of these avalanches in places with blowing snow and recently deposited drifts. These drifts will feel like firm snow over softer snow and a shooting crack means the snowpack needs some time to stabilize. 

    These wind slabs are located in the same place as the more dangerous deep persistent slab avalanches and triggering a wind slab could trigger one of the larger avalanches. 

    (1/28/2025)

    Arrow shows wind direction. This is a good example of a cross loaded slope. 

    Photo: Daniel Krueger

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