Avalanche forecast

Provo

Issued Feb 20, 2026valid to Feb 21, 2026Utah Avalanche Center

Avalanche danger

Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline

Out of date — this forecast expired 6 months ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

The avalanche danger is HIGH on upper- and mid-elevation slopes facing northwest through north and east. Recent snowfall and strong winds have created very dangerous conditions. Avalanches triggered in wind-drifted or new snow could step down more than 3 feet into weak-faceted snow, producing large, dangerous, and potentially deadly slides.

In just two days, we have experienced two devastating avalanche fatalities affecting parents, children, and the broader community. These are huge red flags, and we need to slow down and rethink our choices.

Most accidents and fatalities happen after peak instability. Let’s not add to that number going into this weekend. Return home safely at the end of the day. Avalanche terrain can be avoided, and excellent riding is available on lower-angled slopes. Remember, once you leave a ski resort boundary, you are in the backcountry.

Advice is simple today: stick to slopes less than 30 degrees, stay well away from slopes connected to or below anything steeper than 30 degrees, and be aware of who is above and below you.

Avalanche problems

Wind Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Likely
Size
3
Winds have been moderate to strong over the past few days. Combined with nearly 20 inches of new snow available for transport, these winds have formed and will continue to form slabs of wind-drifted snow on upper- and mid-elevation slopes.

These smooth, rounded pillows of wind-drifted snow rest on the Dry January weak layer. Alone, they could catch and carry a rider, but when combined with buried weak layers, they can trigger much larger avalanches.

Stick to sheltered, lower-angle terrain out of the wind. Watch for drifts, dunes, pillows, and wind-textured surfaces as these indicate recent wind loading.

Outside the wind zone: New snow instabilities remain a concern. Pay attention to lingering storm slabs and loose dry sluffs.
Persistent Slabs
N
NE
E
SE
S
SW
W
NW
Alpine
Treeline
Below treeline
Likelihood
Likely
Size
3
The Dry January Layer (DJL), formed during our January dry spell, can be found on upper- and mid-elevation W‑N‑E facing slopes, and even on lower-elevation NW‑N‑NE terrain. This layer is responsible for much of the avalanche activity observed over the past few days.

Large slabs now exist across much of the range, resting on the very weak DJL. This strong-over-weak structure has, and will continue to, produce large, destructive avalanches. These slabs can propagate widely and may be triggered remotely from a distance.

If you’re considering “safe” travel on a ridgeline, remember that you could become a hazard to those below if you trigger, or remotely trigger, a slide on adjacent slopes, especially in busy terrain. Always be aware of who and what is above and below you. Safer riding conditions are found on slopes less than 30° with no overhead hazard.

As we move further from the initial loading event, obvious signs of instability may not be as apparent, such as cracking or collapsing, but the poor snow structure still exists. The only way to know if the weak grains remain is to stick your shovel in the snow. Even as the likelihood slowly decreases, the consequences of these types of avalanches remain extremely high. The risk is not worth the reward.

An example of the poor snowpack structure in a meadow at 7400' off the Alpine Loop Road (E. Fullmer)

Special Avalanche Bulletin

What: The Utah Avalanche Center is warning of dangerous avalanche conditions across all Utah mountains this weekend. This week’s heavy snowfall and strong winds overloaded preexisting weak layers, creating a HIGH avalanche danger across the entire state. With improving weather moving in for the weekend, avalanche accidents are likely in the backcountry. There have already been two tragic avalanche fatalities this week, as well as several close calls and numerous backcountry avalanches reported.

When: In effect from 6:00 AM MST today to 6:00 AM MST Monday

Where: The mountains of Utah and southeastern Idaho.

Impacts: Dangerous avalanche conditions exist in the backcountry and will persist through the weekend. Natural avalanches are possible, and people are likely to trigger avalanches on slopes steeper than 30 degrees. Dangerous and deadly avalanches can be triggered remotely (from a distance or from below). People leaving ski area boundaries are entering the backcountry where the same dangerous avalanche conditions exist.

Warning Times: Friday, February 20, 2026 – Monday, February 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM MST

Special Announcement

The UAC is deeply saddened to report two avalanche fatalities. The first occurred on Wednesday, February 18th in the Big Flat area of Snake Creek near Midway. A snowmobiler was caught, carried, and buried in an avalanche, and unfortunately, recovery efforts were unsuccessful. The preliminary report can be found HERE.

The second fatality occurred on Thursday, February 19th, in the backcountry adjacent to Brighton Ski Resort. A girl skiing was caught, carried, and buried by an avalanche and did not survive. Our sincerest condolences are with all those impacted. The UAC is investigating both accidents in partnership with local law enforcement.

Recent Activity

How do you even begin to describe the avalanche activity? In just two days, our area has seen two tragic accidents, and we recorded an additional 40 avalanches in the Salt Lake zone and an additional 4 avalanches in the Provo area. That is only what has been reported, processed, and entered. The true number is almost certainly higher. The vast majority were soft slabs, with a few larger hard slab avalanches and very limited dry loose activity.

Most of these avalanches broke 2 to 3 feet deep on average, likely at the new snow old snow interface sitting on weak faceted grains. A few were smaller, around 10 to 20 inches deep, while several hard slabs reached up to 4 feet deep. Reported widths ranged from isolated pockets 20 to 50 feet wide to broad propagating slabs stretching 900 to 1,500 feet across. This was a widespread cycle. Below are just a few of the standouts. Many were large and unsurvivable avalanches, but the list is long. It is worth taking the time today to read through the recent activity.

A few standouts from Provo:

North Box Elder, north aspect at 10,500', naturally triggered soft slab avalanche, ~300' wide on a persistent weak layer of facets; observed from a distance with debris in the Super Coulie runout, limited visibility, upper portion may have also slid.
Blast Off East Ridge, east aspect at 9,000', naturally triggered hard slab avalanche, ~500' wide and 4–6' deep on new snow over 70 cm of facets; observed from a road cut while snowmobiling, with multiple other slides noted on nearby aspects.
Bunnell's Fork and Big Bowls 1–4 in Big Springs, plus mid NNW paths of Bridal Veil and Davis, ran wall-to-wall naturally during the storm; storm snow has settled about 9% as of noon. See photos below.

You can view all recent observations here.

Snow and Weather

Since Monday evening, an impressive series of storms has moved through the state. Yesterday was the first real break in the system, with clear to broken skies that finally let everyone see the 20 inches of new snow that had fallen. Overnight, clouds moved back in, and as a system brushed south of us, temperatures dropped into the single digits. Winds transitioned to the south and southeast and remained generally light, and an additional trace to 1 inch of new snow fell overnight.

This morning, low-density snow is falling in the mountains, likely bringing another 1 to 2 inches. Temperatures will climb into the mid-20s F. Winds will gradually shift more northwesterly and pick up a bit, gusting up to 20 mph along the ridgelines and up to 35 mph on the highest peaks. Snowfall totals for this entire system have been downgraded to about 3 to 8 inches for the Provo area.

With a lot of new snow and clearing weather, be aware of roof avalanches in mountain communities. This is especially important for children and pets.

To review the change in weather and impressive storm, find the most recent Week in Review:

General Announcements

This information does not apply to developed ski areas or highways where avalanche control is normally done. This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.

Observations and Avalanches

Backcountry Emergency Procedures