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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 12th, 2016–Feb 15th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Waterton Lakes.

Travel is fast, it's a good time to go exploring. Ski crampons may be a good idea as temperatures cool into the weekend. JH

Weather Forecast

A slight cooling is forecast for the weekend (daytime freezing levels up to 1500m), with mostly overcast skies and scattered flurries/showers.

Snowpack Summary

Ongoing warm temperatures are causing continued settlement of our aging snowpack. A surface crust has been forming overnight and re-softening in the afternoon at treeline and below. Windslabs from the extreme W winds last weekend are now difficult to trigger. Buried up to 1m is a persistent faceting rain crust which has was not been active recently.

Avalanche Summary

A few size 1.0 loose snow avalanches occurred as a result of warming earlier this week.

Confidence

Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.