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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 13th, 2023–Apr 14th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary, Bonnington, Grohman, Kootenay Pass, Norns, Rossland, South Okanagan, Ymir.

High elevations where the surface snow may remain dry, and where the melt-freeze crust is thin or absent, is where you're most likely to trigger or encounter avalanches. The field data upon which we build this forecast is limited so please adjust your travel to match the conditions encountered.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

Wednesday: Storm slabs (80 cm deep) up to size 3 on northwest through northeast aspects at 2100 m and above. Also smaller storm slabs (30 cm deep) were reported running on the crust, but at lower elevations they broke through that crust and entrained wet snow below.

Snowpack Summary

Since April 9, Kootenay Pass (1780 m) saw about 100 mm that equated to a roughly 30 cm increase in snowpack height. Strawberry Pass (1575 m) was closer to 50 mm and a 15 cm snowpack increase. A lot of rain has fallen in the Kootenay Boundary at most elevations, but there should be dry snow at the highest elevations; but is it 40 cm or 90 cm? The potential for surface instabilities changes significantly between the two!

High elevation shady slopes with recent dry snow is where slab avalanche problems are most likely. This is especially true in wind-loaded areas. This snow now rests on a widespread crust. The exception is on north-facing slopes at treeline and above, where the storm snow sits on old, faceted surfaces, and on surface hoar in some sheltered areas.

Elsewhere, a thick rain crust or settled moist snow exists at the surface. Avalanche danger will be tied almost exclusively to daytime warming and daily melting of the upper snowpack. The more the crust weakens and the deeper the wetness goes, the greater the hazard from wet loose avalanches.

The mid-snowpack is generally well-settled. In some areas, the lower snowpack has a layer of weak facets near the ground.

Weather Summary

Thursday Night

Mainly cloudy with clear periods. Isolated flurries bringing a trace of snow. Light west winds. Freezing level to valley bottom with treeline low around -5 C.

Friday

A mix of sun and cloud with isolated wet flurries or showers. Light northwest winds. Treeline high temperatures around +3 C with freezing levels to 1800 m.

Saturday

Mix of sun and cloud. Light to moderate south winds. Treeline high temperatures around +5C with freezing levels to 2000 m.

Sunday

Cloudy with flurries, accumulations of 5 to 10 cm of snow at high elevations. Alpine temperatures around -1 to -5 C. Moderate but gusting southerly winds.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Continue to make conservative terrain choices while the storm snow settles and stabilizes.
  • Keep in mind the crust offers an excellent bed surface for avalanches.
  • Stay in tune with the physical environment, conditions may change throughout the day.
  • Minimize exposure to steep, sun exposed slopes, especially when the solar radiation is strong.
  • Avalanche hazard is expected to to increase througout the day, think carefully about your egress.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.