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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 23rd, 2023–Mar 24th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Lizard-Flathead, Akamina, Flathead, Lizard.

Watch for changing conditions throughout the day. New snow is expected to bond poorly to the underlying surface.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Over the past few days, several natural and human-triggered size 1-2 loose wet avalanches were observed from steep terrain on solar aspects.

If you head out in the backcountry, let us know what you are seeing by submitting a report to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 15 cm of new snow may accumulate at upper elevations by end of day Friday. This new snow overlies a sun crust on solar aspects, surface hoar up or facets in shady and wind-sheltered areas, and wind-affected surfaces in exposed terrain.

The top layer of the snowpack at higher elevations is made up of 20 to 40 cm of dense, wind-affected snow. It tapers to a rain crust below 1400 m. This Top layer of snow may sit on a sun crust on solar slopes and small surface hoar in sheltered, shaded areas.

The mid-snowpack is generally well-settled. The lower snowpack includes a layer of weak sugary crystals near the ground. This layer has not produced recent avalanche activity.

Weather Summary

Thursday night

Mainly cloudy with scattered flurries, up to 5 cm of accumulation. Alpine temperatures drop to a low of -4 °C. Ridge wind 10 to 30 km/h from the southwest. Freezing level at valley bottom.

Friday

Cloudy with flurries, trace to 10 cm accumulation. Alpine temperatures reach a high of -3 °C. Ridge wind 10 to 30 km/h from the southwest. Freezing level rises to 1300 metres.

Saturday

Cloudy with sunny periods and isolated flurries. Alpine temperatures reach a high of -1 °C. Ridge wind light from the southwest. Freezing level rises to 1500 metres.

Sunday

A mix of sun and cloud. Alpine temperatures reach a high of -3 °C. Ridge wind 10 to 30 km/h from the east. Freezing level rises to 1300 metres.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Use small low consequence slopes to test the bond of the new snow.
  • Watch for signs of slab formation throughout the day.

Problems

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.